The West Salt Creek Rock Avalanche, Colorado, May 25, 2014
Rock avalanches often occur in remote areas that are difficult to access, so eyewitness observations of an avalanche in action are rare. Many avalanches are studied long after they occurred when much of the details of what happened have already been destroyed by natural weathering processes. Exactly what happens during an avalanche, and why, has been difficult to determine. However, this information is exactly what is needed to help scientists determine where future avalanches are more likely to occur and what the consequences could be. This knowledge can help guide decisions that would have an impact on saving lives.
On May 25, 2014 an unusual rainfall on top of melting snow triggered a series of geological events in the West Salt Creek Valley in western Colorado. By the end of the day a volume of earth the size of a cube with sides about ¼ mile long had been transported a large distance of 4.6 km (think a 5K race, or 2.9 mi) from high on the side of the Grand Mesa down into the West Salt Creek Valley, killing 3 people.
In spite of this tragedy, the West Salt Creek Avalanche provided a unique opportunity to combine different types of data to perform a detailed analysis of what happened. Scientists were able to use some new methods of reconstructing avalanches to figure out exactly what happened and when it happened. First, there were rare eyewitness accounts of the avalanche, and the scientists were able to access the avalanche quickly before any evidence was destroyed. They collected detailed data on the structure of the avalanche deposits, and they also used lidar and detailed pre-avalanche maps that were available for the area. Additionally, the avalanche was large enough to be recorded with great clarity on over 22 seismic stations. These factors provided data that are not always available in the study of an avalanche. The outcomes include a better understanding of how rock avalanches move and behave, and ideas on how to improve the numerical models used to study them. Models are used to estimate the hazard of other landslides that may not have even happened yet, so better models yield better hazard information.
Melvin “Slug” Hawkins describes the noise he heard early that morning as a “strange hissing noise”. About 10 hours later in the early evening, the Bracco family heard a loud rumbling sound that rattled their windows. Different members of the family describe the noise like “a low flying, large military helicopter”, a very long clap of thunder”, and “a freight train coming”. In addition to strange sounds, a few people in the area saw strange things that at first they didn’t understand. In the morning, Mr. Hawkins noticed that “something didn’t look right” on the flank of Grand Mesa at the head of West Salt Creek; at about the same time a neighbor noticed that the flow of water from West Salt Creek in an irrigation ditch was disrupted. Mr. Hawkins drove up to a ridge and looked down to see trees moving along the east side of the head of the valley.
Later in the evening just after the Bracco family heard the loud rumbling, they got a call from Mr. Hawkins saying he noticed what looked to him like a “massive slide” in the West Salt Creek Valley. An emergency responder who arrived within minutes after Mrs. Bracco called 911 at 6:17pm observed that a tree sticking out of the toe of the landslide debris moved about 12 m (40 ft) downslope during the first hour he was there.
Mr. Hawkins’ son, Wes, and Clancy and Danny Nichols had been investigating the disrupted irrigation when the massive avalanche occurred. Emergency responders searched for the three missing people that evening and then resumed their search the next day until concerns about the risk from remaining slope instability halted their search. Wes, Clancy, and Danny have not been found.
Collecting Evidence On the Ground, In the Air, and from Seismometers
Scientists arrived on the scene 1 day after the May 25, 2014 event and began making field observations. In the first two weeks following the avalanche, they made measurements of the avalanche deposits and the amount of flow in West Salt Creek, and conducted an emergency hazard assessment for the Salt Creek and Plateau Creek valleys. In addition to measurements in the first two weeks, the scientists spent an additional 10-person weeks in the field using high-resolution unmanned aircraft system (UAS, commonly known as drones) imagery and lidar to map and measure structures within the avalanche deposit. They found that by 6 months after the event, many of the details they had been able to observe and measure initially had already degraded.
Seismic recordings from 22 instruments were used to provide the timing of the avalanche sequence, the size of forces, and the direction of the forces. This informed the scientists whether the avalanche was speeding up, slowing down, or going around a curve. The precise clock in the instruments provided the timing for all of the observed motions in the recordings. The use of seismic instruments to learn about landslides and avalanches was first used after the huge landslide caused by the Mount St. Helens eruption in 1980. This technique has been gaining momentum during the last few years, but it only works when the landslide or avalanche is large and energetic enough to be recorded on distant seismometers.
Science Tells the Story
- Field observations
- Seismic recordings
- Eyewitness accounts
Combining these three datasets, the scientists were able to tell the story of what happened on May 25.
The evidence of many past landslides can be seen on the flanks of the Grand Mesa, and the West Salt Creek avalanche originated from the reactivation of a preexisting rockslide. May 25 was a relatively warm Spring day during the peak of the snowmelt season, warm enough for rain to fall instead of snow. The rain falling on top of the melting snow, and then mixing with the rocks on the steep slope, is what triggered the initial landslide that started the cascade of events that lead to the large avalanche. The avalanche was a complex event, and 8 major phases were identified:
- Landslide/debris flow. There was some downslope movement from the steep face of the preexisting rock slide early in the morning. This movement was related to the strange hissing noise heard by Slug Hawkins.
- Rock slide. A large failure at the head of the valley that generated the catastrophic rock avalanche.
- Catastrophic rock avalanche. The main avalanche event occurred in the early evening. The large distance it traveled was probably due to an underlying liquid-like layer that helped transport a second layer riding on top.
- Movement of central core. Material in the middle of the avalanche continued to move.
- Second debris flow. This occurred high on the face of the new large rock slide.
- Shallow landslides in rock-avalanche deposits. Adjustments in the new landslide deposits.
- A smaller rock slide on the downslope face of the large rock slide . Ongoing rock slides and falls from the headscarp. Continuing slides and falls on the steep headscarp slope.
When all was said and done, 54.5 million cubic meters (about 2 billion cubic feet) of material traveled an amazing distance of 4.6 km (2.9 mi) at an average velocity of about 20 m/s (45 mph). The main event, the rock avalanche, had traveled like a rollercoaster on a track as it careened down the slope, slowing down and speeding up, and navigating around several curves on the way.
Avalanche Insights from West Salt Creek
The West Salt Creek avalanche provided a rare opportunity to collect and combine data that’s not usually available for avalanches. The understanding of avalanche processes was greatly enhanced from the study of this avalanche, and the highlights are:
- An avalanche is a complex sequence of events, not just one massive slide. Therefore if potential avalanche sites were monitored, precursory activity could help to alert residents below and allow time for evacuation.
- The various datasets and high-resolution measurements allowed scientists to suggest refinements to models for avalanches, which should lead to better estimates of avalanche hazards. Many avalanches that travel great distances appear to have two layers: a more liquid underlying layer and a thicker and stronger layer that rides on top.
- Structures mapped in older landslides might be useful in determining the speed in which they moved. Knowing the speed that older landslides moved is important for assessing future landslide hazards. Unfortunately, the distinctness of many avalanche structures degrades quickly (within 6 months at West Salt Creek) from weathering and vegetation.
-written by Lisa Wald
- American Geophysical Union – EOS article
- West Salt Creek rock avalanche - Geosphere article
- CO Geol Survey – Landslides
- CO Geol Survey West Salt Creek Landslide Bulletin 55
- CO Geol Survey – DeBeque Canyon Landslide
- CO Geol Survey – E Fork San Juan River Landslide
- Kate Allstadt
- Rex Baum
- Jeffrey Coe
- Jason Kean